Value of anti-IS airstrikes in Syria debated as France joins
PARIS:
French lawmakers are debating the decision to join a military air
campaign over Syria, raising new questions about what a year of US-led
bombing of the Islamic State group has accomplished.
British,
Australian and Belgian leaders are also considering expanding ongoing
airstrikes in Iraq to Syria — but critics in all countries are
questioning the point of widening a campaign that has failed to stem
advances by the extremist organization.
French reconnaissance
flights in Syria began last week, and President Francois Hollande said
airstrikes there would follow soon. Tuesday's parliamentary debate is
not a request for permission — the government needs none — but rather an
opportunity to explain its decision before a skeptical audience.
Prime Minister Manuel Valls told Parliament that France will decide
"alone" on it targets. He justified the decision to intervene in Syria
as "self-defense" against terrorism. France has seen deadly attacks this
year linked to Islamic extremists abroad.
The United States,
Canada and Middle Eastern allies Bahrain, Saudi Arabia, Jordan and the
United Arab Emirates have been striking targets in Syria for months and
were recently joined by Turkey. Until now, France, Britain, Australia,
Belgium, Denmark and the Netherlands have only conducted airstrikes in
Iraq, where the government has requested help dealing with the IS
onslaught, fearing that hitting at IS in Syria would ultimately help the
government of Syrian President Bashar Assad.
For France, the influx of Syrian and Iraqi refugees into Europe has shifted the equation.
"The government wants to be seen as being decisive and doing
something," said Francois Heisbourg, chairman of the International
Institute for Strategic Studies. "The beauty of airstrikes is you can
decide them readily, you can implement them very quickly and easily, and
in media terms they're quite spectacular."
However, he said he
doesn't think the French airstrikes will be any more effective than the
US's airstrikes in Syria, which he said "haven't been conclusive."
The conservative opposition in France also warned that airstrikes will not significantly change the situation on the ground.
"Would an air operation, with no regional powers involved and no
international mandate, bring a strategic advantage? Clearly, we don't
think so", Christian Jacob, head of the conservative group at the lower
house of Parliament, stressed.
Valls, however, ruled out any ground intervention.
"The examples in Iraq and in Afghanistan teach us that we would need to
mobilize tens of thousands of men who would then be exposed to great
danger. And this is incidentally the trap that is set up against us by
the Jihadists: forcing us to intervene on their ground to get us bogged
down," he said.
Last week the prime ministers of Australia and
Britain announced they would resettle Syrian refugees and called for
expanding airstrikes to Syria — but they too have faced questions from
the opposition.
"What's the objective here? What's the end
game? It's not enough to be speaking in sound bites about what an evil
organization Daesh is," Australian opposition deputy leader Tanya
Plibersek said at the time, using the Arabic acronym for the IS group.
British Prime Minister David Cameron has indicated he'll push for a
House of Commons vote on airstrikes on IS in Syria despite opposition by
the new Labour leader Jeremy Corbyn.
"It doesn't necessarily
depend on the views of one person," Cameron said during a recent trip to
the Middle East, suggesting he'd push for vote if he believed enough
lawmakers would back expansion.
Cameron has said he'd try for a
vote when he thinks he can win parliamentary consensus. He was defeated
in pushing for airstrikes on Syria in 2013.
Corbyn restated
his opposition last weekend, writing in The Observer, "The prime
minister will soon again be asking us to bomb Syria. That won't help
refugees, it will create more."
It's not clear how adding
countries to the list of airstrike partners will change a situation that
has not stopped IS from expanding control of territory in Syria.
"A counterinsurgency war is not won in the air," said Claude Moniquet, a
former French intelligence agent who now runs a security consulting
firm. "Nobody wants to be involved in a ground war in Syria and Iraq
because it will drive us to an important amount of losses and nobody
wants to be responsible for the body bags which will come back."
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